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Happy Thanksgiving from Phoenix Real Estate Guy!
4 weeks ago · 2 comments
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Happy Thanksgiving from Phoenix Real Estate Guy!
My dad always said it was wiser to know more reasons to say "No" to something, than to know more reasons to say "Yes" to it. The latter often shows you simply haven't done enough research, or have done it in the wrong place.
Good work :)
I just did some two-year statistical data on Tempe, Chandler and Gilbert and posted it on my blog. There are signs of life in all three markets - in general - including price stabilization and inventory levels. But this comes after the summer real estate busy season and could change as the school season starts. It will be interesting to see where we stand in the late fall and after FHA guidelines change.
But, for most sellers, now is a horrible time to sell, unless they've owned their home pre-boom and have substantial equity. If they bought two years ago they most likely have negative equity.
There's no point in sugar-coating today's real estate market. If I told every person that "now is a great time to sell" and "now is a great time to buy" every single day of the week until I retire then my credibility goes right out the window.
And sugar-coating today's real estate market for most sellers is like sugar-coating sh!t. It may be sugary and sweet on the outside but eventually you'll be dealing with a bunch of sh!t ...
"The media is out to get us and now other agents (YOU) are to!! How do you think this makes agents look!! STUPID!! Why do you do this?"
I think if anything playing up a market that is down makes agents look stupid.
But like I said, some people have no choice and have to leave their home. Those people I feel bad for. Everyone's situation is different.
Thanks for letting me post,
Blessings. :)
--Thomas Jefferson
If you don't have to sell, don't bother to list your home for sale, wait.
If you want to buy, be able to negotiate from a position of strength.
Jay, I'm glad you did a follow up post on "a agent"; the grammatical errors and misspellings are a poor reflection on real estate professionals who have our clients interests in mind rather than our own.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c1g15SJacxY&...
our man Vance turned me on to it. Suze is just to nice with her.
Greg
By telling your readers the facts, you're simply being a trust-worthy agent. If you were to tell your readers (or potential clients) that "now is the time to sell", in an effort to gain business... we would see right through you!
It's no mistake that you are one of (if not thee) most well-respected real estate agents in cyber-world... you "keep it real". Thanks for that!
After listening to the "You tube "that Greg Bain (above) gave us...Agent A was probably feeling "desperate" in this market. He/She probably doesn't have a good support system or informational pipeline to help He/She to see the "truth"....Thank God He/She has found this blog...maybe now He/She will LEARN THE TRUTH!
Great quotes by the way Jay
At least maybe now "Agent" can start to accept the reality of the situation, good or bad, and find new ways to make real estate work for him/her. Time to get creative!
I don't need to tell you Jay to continue to be frank and direct - your readership and warm consumer response already shows that it's exactly what people are looking for. I think 'A agent' is underestimating the intelligence of the consumer.
To address the points here, I believe its important to be honest and upfront with clients and all people when discussing real estate or anything else for that matter. They have access to data and news media and are not stupid. Its obviously not the best time to sell right now and I think any agents that promote that it is make themselves look bad.
Sometimes it's difficult to imagine that there are folks out there that feel like "a agent". But they most certainly are. I've gotten comments, private emails and even a couple of phone calls for "being negative".
I've often thought about following up at a later point with those that make these comments to see just how well their real estate career is going.
Buyers and sellers are smarter than a lot of people give them credit for. I think they can see right through someone who "blows smoke". But it sure doesn't seem to stop it from happening...
@Greg - thanks for the YouTube link. That was a good one. It's difficult to have much sympathy for someone taking out a 3rd mortgage for a swimming pool. A *lot* of folks used their home as an ATM machine, which is crazy. You'd think an agent, who in theory is a little more connected to the real estate market, would know better.
Too much NAR Kool-Aid kills more brain cells that booze.
Just as an attorney can advise you NOT to go to court, but you decide you want to anyway, we must take the role of advice seriously for our clients. Even, if at the end of the day that means we don't get a commission, we have to put the client first.
AND can I just add that it is obvious that "One Flew Over the Cuckoos Nest" is the all time best Jack Nicholson film.
I think the question of whether it's a good time to sell or not is all a question of relativity. The last time I saw something like this was in the early 90's . All of the sudden, "FOOM"! A 15% - 30% drop (or so). Not as many short sales and foreclosures then. Prices stabilized and in the mid 90's everything was pretty much stable. Then slowly around 2001 prices went up and then "BOOM"! Really up! Then in late 2004, "FOOM"! down again.
I personally think it's an individual matter. If someones NEEDS to sell, they should. If they want to pay the "PITI" until the market goes "BOOM"! again,they can, but I personally think that won't happen for about 7 to 10 years. I don't see values much now; I think prices pretty much stabilized in Mass; however, if someone where I am wants to sell, they'd better hurry up and call me. Yeah, they say in Mass prices have come down, somewhere around 5%=7% in a year, but I think the best thing to do when giving out advice is to study the absorption rates for the specific property in question and look at ALL options. Ask some of my clients; if a property is well priced, it will sell in any market. You see, RIGHT NOW may be the BEST TIME to sell, depending on the situation.
Statements by realtors exhorting their brethern do opposite what the market and your professional opinion might dictate smacks of a cartel type mentality.
I would think THAT is the impression that realtors would like to avoid!